← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | ⚽ | Juan Aguilera · Huesca |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alexander González · Huesca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 79' | ⚽ | Cucho Hernández · Huesca |
| 88' | 🟨 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Santi Comesaña · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Baiano · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 92.00 |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| 242.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 3.77 |
| elo | 1496.42 | 1471.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.93 | -11.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |