← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Albacete win | 19% | 5.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Mariano Bittolo · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Albacete |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 48' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Albacete |
| 53' | ⚽ (og) | Mickael Gaffoor · Numancia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nili · Albacete |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pere Milla · Numancia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Carlos Delgado · Albacete |
| 82' | ⚽ | Dani Nieto · Numancia |
| 84' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 852.00 | 1674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1494.75 | 1328.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.07 | -23.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 54.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.51 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 25.95 |
| state index | 0.48 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |