← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Sep 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Almeria win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mandi · Almeria |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yeray Gonzalez · Cultural Leonesa |
| 54' | 🟨 | Verza · Almeria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ahmad Yasser · Cultural Leonesa |
| 60' | 🟨 | Fran Rodríguez · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟥 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 81' | 🟨 | Víctor Díaz · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmad Yasser · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianni Zuiverloon · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ahmad Yasser · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Renê · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cultural Leonesa | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 516.00 |
| venue | Estadio Reino de Leon |
| 212.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.83 |
| elo | 1494.33 | 1444.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.77 | 4.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.39 | 0.70 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.19 | 6.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |