← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Numancia win | 23% | 4.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | David Barral · Cadiz |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Barral · Cadiz |
| 39' | 🟥 | David Barral · Cadiz |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Pere Milla · Numancia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Javier Carpio · Cadiz |
| 83' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 541.00 | 846.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1548.16 | 1491.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | 42.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| league points | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.94 | -1.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 28.29 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.32 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |