← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 17% | 5.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 235.00 | 511.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1502.84 | 1516.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.32 | 33.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.43 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 25.78 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |