← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Valladolid win | 29% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Rajko Brežančić · Huesca |
| 38' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 43' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Valladolid |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luismi · Valladolid |
| 79' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luso · Huesca |
| 83' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 83' | 🟥 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1495.09 | 1525.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.40 | 43.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 28.08 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |