← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Sep 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Almeria win | 20% | 4.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Mandi · Almeria |
| 22' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lucas Torró · CA Osasuna |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 70' | ⚽ | Quique · CA Osasuna |
| 71' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 73' | 🟨 | Xisco · CA Osasuna |
| 77' | ⚽ | Sebastian Coris · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days | 107.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1456.85 | 1473.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.66 | 18.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.40 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 27.07 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |