← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Sep 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Zaragoza win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Oliver Buff · Zaragoza |
| 52' | 🟨 | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Angel Martinez · Zaragoza |
| 67' | ⚽ | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 76.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| elo | 1430.48 | 1448.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.11 | -16.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |