← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Sep 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Lugo win | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Pelayo · Albacete |
| 30' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 51' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Albacete |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 1654.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.41 |
| elo | 1331.38 | 1421.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.07 | -43.04 |
| eye test v1 | -1.92 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.33 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.33 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.67 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 25.29 |
| state index | -1.06 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |