← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Sep 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Lorca FC win | 19% | 5.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Tropi · Lorca FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mandi · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 57' | 🟨 | Renê · Almeria |
| 62' | ⚽ | Fran Rodríguez · Almeria |
| 78' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 84' | ⚽ | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Tino Costa · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Pina · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 192.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | — |
| elo | 1466.55 | 1399.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.44 | -6.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 25.79 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |