← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Lorca FC win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 68' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lorca FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Roberto Trashorras · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 32.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.12 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.59 |
| elo | 1397.75 | 1531.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.70 | 12.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.50 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.81 | 28.37 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |