← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Cadiz win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Moha Traore · Cadiz |
| 85' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Lugo |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | David Barral · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 63.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.51 |
| elo | 1429.88 | 1540.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.49 | -4.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 26.11 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |