← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Aug 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Numancia win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 19' | ⚽ | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 21' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 49' | ⚽ | Pere Milla · Numancia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pere Milla · Numancia |
| 63' | ⚽ | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 0.20 |
| coach days | 206.00 | 817.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1535.16 | 1448.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.31 | -19.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |