← Segunda División 2017 · Mon, Aug 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Reus win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 11' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 23' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.04 | 2.91 |
| elo | 1448.58 | 1502.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.52 | 16.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 29.15 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |