← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Aug 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| 0.00 |
| coach days | 50.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.55 |
| elo | 1480.29 | 1524.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.28 | 17.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.02 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |