← Serie B 2017 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Niccolo Baroni, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Ternana win | 30% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 18' | ⚽ | Adriano Montalto · Ternana |
| 24' | ⚽ | — · Ternana |
| 28' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Cittadella |
| 36' | 🟨 | — · Ternana |
| 37' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Cittadella |
| 37' | 🟥 | Filippo Scaglia · Cittadella |
| 46' | 🟨 | — · Ternana |
| 50' | 🟨 | Daniele Gasparetto · Ternana |
| 52' | 🟥 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Tremolada · Ternana |
| 60' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Ternana |
| 67' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 65.00 | 1011.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 |
| venue | Libero Liberati |
| 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.38 |
| elo | 1377.01 | 1495.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.91 | -15.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| league points | 27.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.77 | 8.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |