← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 73% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.71 |
| Ankaragücü win | 11% | 9.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 74' | ⚽ | Michał Pazdan · Ankaragücü |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alihan Kubalas · Ankaragücü |
| 83' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Kadah · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 23 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Izmir Doganlar Stadi |
| coach days | 114.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.21 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1490.22 | 1464.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 71.37 | 8.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| league points | 39.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.74 | 29.07 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |