← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halis Ozkahya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.61 |
| Antalyaspor win | 13% | 7.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | 🟨 | Doğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor |
| 33' | ⚽ | Mevlüt Erdinç · Antalyaspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jailson · Fenerbahce |
| 52' | 🟨 | Diego Angelo · Antalyaspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Amilton da Silva · Antalyaspor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Eljif Elmas · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Victor Moses · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 176.00 | 510.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1652.27 | 1504.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.10 | -6.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.30 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.77 | 27.18 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |