← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.83 |
| Sivasspor win | 20% | 4.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko · Ankaragücü |
| 27' | 🟨 | Ante Kulušić · Ankaragücü |
| 34' | ⚽ | Tyler Boyd · Ankaragücü |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Ankaragücü |
| 50' | ⚽ | Héctor Canteros · Ankaragücü |
| 60' | 🟨 | Tyler Boyd · Ankaragücü |
| 61' | ⚽ | David Braz · Sivasspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Thibault Moulin · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| coach days | 139.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1448.28 | 1538.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.02 | 4.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| league points | 40.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.00 | 29.92 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |