← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Goztep win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Aurélien Chedjou · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Allano · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 352.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| venue | Timsah Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.20 |
| 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 4.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1454.26 | 1489.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.56 | 58.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 28.93 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.07 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |