← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Kayserispor win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Adrien Regattin · Akhisarspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 61' | ⚽ | Artem Kravets · Kayserispor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Musa Nizam · Akhisarspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Elvis Manu · Akhisarspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Elvis Manu · Akhisarspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serginho · Akhisarspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Levent Gülen · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Kucher · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Asamoah Gyan · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu |
| coach days | 107.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1412.72 | 1521.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.93 | 1.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 30.05 | 30.26 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |