← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Sivasspor win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 10' | ⚽ | Deniz Kadah · Goztep |
| 30' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Berkan Emir · Sivasspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cameron Jerome · Goztep |
| 72' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 79' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 79' | 🟥 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 80' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Axel Ngando · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Izmir Doganlar Stadi |
| coach days | 99.00 | 191.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.02 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1489.84 | 1538.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.28 | 6.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.80 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.98 | 29.49 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |