← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Abdulkadir Bitigen, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 5.87 |
| Akhisarspor win | 9% | 10.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 30' | ⚽ | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 39' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Akhisarspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Hélder Barbosa · Akhisarspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jeremy Bokila · Akhisarspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Eray Ataseven · Akhisarspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Eljif Elmas · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jailson · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 161.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1643.31 | 1415.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.66 | -17.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.98 | 31.01 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |