← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Antalyaspor win | 28% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Aurélien Chedjou · Bursaspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Umut Nayir · Bursaspor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Umut Meraş · Bursaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Aly Cissokho · Antalyaspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aly Cissokho · Antalyaspor |
| 71' | 🟥 | Aly Cissokho · Antalyaspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Hakan Özmert · Antalyaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Burak Kapacak · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Angelo · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Antalya Stadyumu |
| coach days | 494.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1500.16 | 1440.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.33 | -16.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.46 |
| league points | 48.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.67 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |