← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Antalyaspor win | 18% | 5.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 18' | ⚽ | Mevlüt Erdinç · Antalyaspor |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Kadah · Goztep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Charles · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ruud Boffin · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Diego Angelo · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Charles · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟥 | Charles · Antalyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ondřej Čelůstka · Antalyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Kadah · Goztep |
| 72' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 73' | 🟨 | Amilton da Silva · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Izmir Doganlar Stadi |
| coach days | 93.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1473.16 | 1516.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.47 | 13.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 34.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 8.85 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.99 | 29.80 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |