← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 75% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.36 |
| Ankaragücü win | 10% | 9.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 52' | 🟨 | Nicolas Isimat-Mirin · Besiktas |
| 54' | ⚽ | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 68' | 🟨 | Hadi Sacko · Ankaragücü |
| 70' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Hadi Sacko · Ankaragücü |
| 81' | ⚽ | Adem Ljajić · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 1427.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1736.86 | 1455.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.03 | 16.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.84 |
| league points | 62.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.70 | 28.72 |
| state index | 1.27 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |