← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Fenerbahce win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | İsmail Köybaşı · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 171.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1550.17 | 1630.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.37 | 0.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| league points | 46.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.52 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.80 | 30.11 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |