← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 12' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 33' | 🟥 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lucas Villafanez · Alanyaspor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Baiano · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟥 | Erkan Kaş · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Murat Yildirim · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 13.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1525.37 | 1549.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.64 | -12.79 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| league points | 41.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.54 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 29.57 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |