← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halis Ozkahya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Ankaragücü win | 19% | 5.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 77' | ⚽ | Tyler Boyd · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 134.00 | 103.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1546.78 | 1433.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.51 | 24.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.64 | 28.82 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |