← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Ankaragücü win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 15' | 🟨 | Héctor Canteros · Ankaragücü |
| 42' | ⚽ | Tyler Boyd · Ankaragücü |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mauricio Isla · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | ⚽ | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dever Orgill · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wilfried Moke · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟥 | Héctor Canteros · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harun Tekin · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| coach days | 96.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1429.50 | 1631.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.22 | 6.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 34.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 20.96 | 22.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 29.64 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |