← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Koray Gencerler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Kayserispor win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Hasan Hüseyin Acar · Kayserispor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Tjaronn Chery · Kayserispor |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tjaronn Chery · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Hasan Hüseyin Acar · Kayserispor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gabriel Torje · Sivasspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tjaronn Chery · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 156.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 9.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1550.39 | 1528.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.05 | 12.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| league points | 40.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 21.96 | 19.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 31.34 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |