← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.85 |
| Sivasspor win | 14% | 6.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Mattias Bjarsmyr · Sivasspor |
| 73' | ⚽ | Özer Hurmacı · Sivasspor |
| 74' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sadık Çiftpınar · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Moses · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harun Tekin · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 104.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1625.35 | 1556.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.52 | -27.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| league points | 31.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.42 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.50 | 29.08 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |