← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Ankaragücü win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Brice Dja Djédjé · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | 🟨 | Abdullahi Shehu · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 67.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.60 |
| 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1439.10 | 1473.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 79.35 | -19.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| league points | 33.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |