← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.72 |
| Rizespor win | 16% | 5.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Rizespor |
| 20' | 🟨 | Mykola Morozyuk · Rizespor |
| 22' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 40' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mykola Morozyuk · Rizespor |
| 42' | 🟥 | Mykola Morozyuk · Rizespor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dario Melnjak · Rizespor |
| 58' | 🟨 | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marwane Saadane · Rizespor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abdullah Durak · Rizespor |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Victor Moses · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 91.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1628.67 | 1543.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.66 | 52.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| league points | 28.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 30.87 | 27.18 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |