← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Dorukhan Toköz · Besiktas |
| 37' | ⚽ | Atiba Hutchinson · Besiktas |
| 41' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Kucher · Kayserispor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Şamil Çinaz · Kayserispor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Artem Kravets · Kayserispor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days | 91.00 | 1370.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1529.28 | 1688.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.61 | 18.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 30.62 | 29.89 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |