← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Fenerbahce win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gökhan Gönül · Besiktas |
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 35' | 🟨 | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 55' | ⚽ | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 61' | ⚽ | Sadık Çiftpınar · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | ⚽ | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 74' | 🟨 | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Sadık Çiftpınar · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 1365.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1691.78 | 1625.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.38 | -12.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.30 | 28.24 |
| state index | 1.15 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |