← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Rizespor win | 22% | 4.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Aatif Chahechouhe · Rizespor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ramazan Keskin · Bursaspor |
| 29' | 🟨 | Chidozie Awaziem · Rizespor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aatif Chahechouhe · Rizespor |
| 78' | ⚽ | Okechukwu Azubuike · Rizespor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stéphane Badji · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Timsah Arena |
| coach days | 260.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1486.62 | 1509.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.62 | 48.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |