← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Alanyaspor win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Deniz Kadah · Goztep |
| 28' | 🟨 | Celso Borges · Goztep |
| 31' | ⚽ | Celso Borges · Goztep |
| 33' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
| 42' | ⚽ | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabrice N'Sakala · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Yasin Öztekin · Goztep |
| 74' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 89' | ⚽ | Nabil Ghilas · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Beto · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟥 | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taha Yalçıner · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 8 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bornova Stadium |
| coach days | 9.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1455.64 | 1539.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.03 | 37.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 29.94 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |