← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Bursaspor win | 18% | 5.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 55' | 🟨 | Aytaç Kara · Bursaspor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1349.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.20 |
| 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1676.96 | 1492.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | 7.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.02 | 26.17 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |