← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.02 |
| Goztep win | 19% | 5.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 32' | 🟨 | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 33' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 37' | 🟨 | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Roman Neustädter · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | 🟥 | Cameron Jerome · Goztep |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | ⚽ | Victor Moses · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yasin Öztekin · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 62.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1637.17 | 1461.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.65 | 0.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 30.59 | 28.01 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |