← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halis Ozkahya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Ankaragücü win | 22% | 4.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Erdem Özgenç · Ankaragücü |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 11' | 🟨 | Kenan Özer · Ankaragücü |
| 46' | 🟨 | Brice Dja Djédjé · Ankaragücü |
| 51' | 🟨 | Merih Demiral · Alanyaspor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yalçın Ayhan · Ankaragücü |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thibault Moulin · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| coach days | 27.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1373.70 | 1521.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.01 | 30.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.20 | 29.85 |
| state index | -1.84 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |