← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 19% | 4.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 5' | 🟨 | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 22' | 🟨 | Guilherme · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 28' | ⚽ | Arturo Mina · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erkan Kaş · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mitchell Donald · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 51' | 🟨 | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sadık Çiftpınar · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Yalçın · Yeni Malatyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Yeni Malatyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 58.00 | 514.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1629.84 | 1594.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.33 | 20.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.75 | 28.53 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |