← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Bursaspor win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | 🟨 | Barış Yardımcı · Bursaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yusuf Erdoğan · Bursaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aytaç Kara · Bursaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umut Nayir · Bursaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aytaç Kara · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Timsah Arena |
| coach days | 234.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1487.29 | 1632.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.11 | -47.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 29.16 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |