← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Sivasspor win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattias Bjarsmyr · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 80.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 5.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1506.82 | 1562.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.04 | 17.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 29.00 | 27.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 28.96 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |