← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Bursaspor win | 25% | 3.89 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Aytaç Kara · Bursaspor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Stéphane Badji · Bursaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Iasmin Latovlevici · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 13.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| venue | Bornova Stadium |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.00 |
| 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1461.73 | 1484.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.71 | -10.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| league points | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |