← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Antalyaspor win | 19% | 4.96 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Barış Yardımcı · Bursaspor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Umut Meraş · Bursaspor |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Serdar Özkan · Antalyaspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Mevlüt Erdinç · Antalyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ondřej Čelůstka · Antalyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Allano · Bursaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Umut Nayir · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Timsah Arena |
| coach days | 191.00 | 342.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1500.92 | 1538.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.64 | 6.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |