← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Goztep win | 25% | 3.82 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Gabriel Torje · Sivasspor |
| 12' | 🟨 | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 29' | 🟨 | Sergiy Rybalka · Sivasspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Kadu · Goztep |
| 52' | 🟨 | Titi · Goztep |
| 58' | 🟨 | Kadu · Goztep |
| 58' | 🟥 | Kadu · Goztep |
| 60' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Sergiy Rybalka · Sivasspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Douglas · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 37.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.78 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1561.75 | 1470.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.74 | -21.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 28.86 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |