← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Alanyaspor win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Besiktas |
| 9' | 🟨 | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mustafa Pektemek · Besiktas |
| 49' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Villafanez · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 36.00 | 1285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1491.42 | 1721.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.89 | 15.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 40.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| league points | 18.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.05 | 29.26 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |