← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Ankaragücü win | 27% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Mostapha El Kabir · Ankaragücü |
| 21' | 🟨 | Mostapha El Kabir · Ankaragücü |
| 29' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Rizespor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marwane Saadane · Rizespor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Altay Bayındır · Ankaragücü |
| 63' | 🟨 | Aminu Umar · Rizespor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Aminu Umar · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 90.00 | 851.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1458.78 | 1411.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.87 | 39.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| league points | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 29.79 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |