← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Fenerbahce win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Islam Slimani · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | ⚽ | Filip Novák · Trabzonspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ogenyi Onazi · Trabzonspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Uğurcan Çakır · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yiğithan Güveli · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 177.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1613.99 | 1698.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.34 | -5.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.08 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |